Emmanuel Macron is elected President of the Republic after a devastating election campaign: everything has to be rebuilt for everyone. And especially for democracy.
Emmanuel Macron was elected with a comfortable majority. But…
It should not be forgotten that in the first round he obtained only 24% of the votes and that a good part of the 66% obtained in the second round are voices of refusal of Marine Le Pen. Whatever the national press says today, which made the « useful » voting in the first and second ballots the main argument for Macron choice. The international press, relieved, makes this election an unconditional adherence to the European Union, dubbed Europe. This promises more alignment with the European Union than it is with initiatives for a social and democratic Europe.
Even more than his predecessor, everything but Nicolas Sarkozy, Emmanuel Macron is elected by default, everything but Marine Le Pen. The magic of the electoral system magnifies the political line of less than a quarter of the voters of the first round …
Which team? This is where the problems begin. It is not surprising that Emmanuel Macron is not in a hurry to give the name of his Prime Minister. The ambiguity must last as long as possible to maintain the hope of everyone in view of the legislative elections.
Francois Hollande, by his sacrifice, has practically succeeded. Breaking the PS and paving the way for a government party that will not have finance as an enemy, which will have eliminated any socialist superego to make it the equivalent of the Italian Democratic Party (PD) or the German Social Democratic Party . The French socialist exception, admittedly illusory, has lived.
For the PS minority, for EELV, their separate future is fragile. Their future in common uncertain. Temptation of a new PSU? With the same future? A dynamic merger towards an unequivocal left-wing ecologist party? Or end of comet bringing together ecologists who have followed the tribulations of the PS and the socialists who denounced them?
The left of the left is in a situation, apparently, more positive. The work, methods and results of Jean-Luc Mélenchon and France Insoumise bring hope with many pitfalls. Jean-Luc Mélenchon and François Hollande killed the PS. Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Pierre Laurent kill the PC? Or the PC and France Insoumise?
On the other hand, if the left of the left regains a certain dynamism, it can attract again a part of those who voted Macron under the pressure of the commentators of polls (more than polls themselves), editorialists, some thinkers of the left who played with fear, with bad conscience. At first and second round.In the first round, 4 candidates obtained results close to 20% with an abstention rate of the same level. In the second round, Emmanuel Macron took him far ahead of Marine Le Pen. But the results and the importance of the abstentions and of the white and nil vote in the two rounds do not make it possible to foresee the composition of the next National Assembly, since it will depend on very different circumstances in the 577 constituencies. It will depend on the dynamics that will be created in the coming days.
It is not sure that it benefits only Emmanuel Macron.This allows everyone to leave with some hope. And with great expectations for the polls and their commentators.